Space Economics
This article goes hand and hand
with a previous article I wrote called
Space Short.
In that
previous blog I wrote that I believe that it is extremely
important that we as the human race need to start moving into
space, for a verity of reasons. The survival of race depends on
it, in the event of a global disaster such as a mega volcano
eruption or a large asteroid hit. We also need to worry about
over population, dwindling resources and climate change.
The risks are just to high for us to be only a one planet
species. We have the technology now and it's accelerating at an
exponential rate, so I think it's time we begin the next phase
of human history and spread our species into space. I wrote
about some of my ideas on this topic in another previous article
called
Super Fuel.
Well as it turns out I'm not the only one who is thinking and
coming up with ideas about this whole 'space thing'. Evidently
there are several rather large companies working on this very
sort of thing. And I'm not talking about sending some 'little'
(relatively) space shuttle up once-twice a year to take some
pictures and fix some satellites. I'm talking about all-out ,
big-time, space economy building, colonization. As with every
other industry the name of the game is profit; the future of
space exploration and colonization relays on it's ability to
make money.
-- The following
is an exert out of
Present at the Future where 'Elon
Musk' talks
about what his company 'SpaceX' is currently working on and what
he and some other companies are planning in the near future. I find this absolutely
amazing.
Taken from:
Present ant the Future,
Chapter Seventeen, "There's no Business like Space Business"
Elon Musk is the CEO and chief designer of Space
Exploration Technologies, otherwise known as SpaceX. SpaceX is a
rocket company. Our goal is to solve, or help solve, what I
consider to be by far and away, the great problem of space,
which is the cost of getting there. We are starting off with a
small launch vehicle called Falcon 1,
named after the
Millennium Falcon. I hope George Lucas doesn't sue us.
Falcon 1 will be a proof of concept.
It is designed to put small satellites into orbit and test
the key technologies necessary to go bigger and to build manned
rockets and manned capsules. But looking into the future, the
big development at SpaceX is something called
Falcon 9,
which is considerably larger. In its largest version
Falcon
9, would be capable of putting twenty five tons into
Earth's orbit. And it's also capable of missions to
geosynchronous orbit and to escape.
And Falcon 9 is also being built from the ground up with what's
called a manned safety rating, so that the margins of safety in
the design of components are higher than they are in an unmanned
rocket. That's something that isn't all that hard to do if you
design the rocket from the beginning to do that, but it's very
difficult to retrofit a rocket to be man-rated.
The ultimate goal of SpaceX is not tourism, as it is for
Branson's
company, but a much bolder goal:
the colonization of other planets.
SpaceX is really to help enable humanity become a space-faring
civilization and one day, a multiplanet species. To do so, he
must first lower the cost and improve the reliability of the
service to the point where if you want to move to Mars, you
should be able to do so if you can afford the median house in
California.
Tumlinson (founder of Space Frontier Foundation) is concerned with a
business model too: the one driving NASA. The space agency has
been traditionally seen as pioneer, a trailblazer, the Lewis and
Clark of space travel, going where no human has ever gone
before. But space exploration has now been going on for more
than 50 years, and it's time for private businesses to get a
firm foothold, he reasons. After all, it was way before 50 years
after the Wright brothers flew their crude airplanes at Kitty
Hawk, in 1903, that private airlines were ferrying passengers.
It's time to turn space travel over to the private sector, where
it can be commercialized. Tumlinson believes that NASA
understands his point of view and agrees with it. But he is
concerned that NASA's coziness with the contractors who have
been working with the agency for decades, who have received and
continue to receive billions of dollars to design and build
future space vehicles, will shut out the fledgling competitors.
So we already have the aerospace companies, the traditional aerospace
companies, as I call them, saying that they're building a
variation of their vehicle which will actually compete with
these nonsubsidized private companies that are going to be
allegedly carrying stuff to and from stations. So I see a few
years down the road, we could have real trouble there, as the
smaller guys get kind of booted out of the way by these heavily
subsidized aerospace companies.
If we're going to settle and stay and create the communities that Elon
was speaking of, we have to make all of our decisions with that
in mind. And that gets to the Lewis-and-Clark function for
government and the enabling and protecting and nurturing the new
private-sector companies that are going to be the ones who
actually create the economy that allows us to stay. One of the
big challenges is going to be to get NASA focused on a
supportive roles for this industry rather than the
not-invented-here, do-it-yourself approach. Because as we say in
our group, nobody stays until somebody pays. And I really don't
want it to be the taxpayers.
The private sector is absolutely critical, is indeed indispensable to
NASA's exploration plans. It is literally impossible for NASA to
do what it wants without bringing in strong involvement of the
private sector.
And a good place to start involving and encouraging the privatization of
space is in the completed space station. So that's the first
thing to get the space shuttle's expenses put to bed. And
that'll free up, I hope, some money from some commercialization
activity that will support the space station. All the supplies
and cargo shouldn't be flown up on NASA rockets; they should be
flown up on commercial enterprises that can bid for that
business and get NASA out of the freight business and get it
back in the exploring business. That may be the surface of the
moons where we go or the asteroids, which I would like to see
visited pretty quickly, and then eventually, to Mars.
What we really need is a partnership, as we move out, between the
government playing the Lewis-and-Clark role on the leading edge,
and this is where we screw up and have screwed up in the past.
Built into that Lewis-and-Clark function should be a constant
handoff of operational activities to the private sectors, such
as Elon's company, and the things Rutan(CEO of Scaled Composites
- private space travel company.) might build, and others out
there. Just constantly shedding. So we have what I call a lean,
mean exploration machine, in the form of NASA moving outward.
And the settlers and shopkeepers bringing up the rear and
creating an economy.

